The Nifty is down 12% year-to-date. Crude has been elevated for four weeks. Berstein just published a note that every India investor needs to read and it maps out where this could end across four different scenarios. The Nifty is down 12% year-to-date. The crude spike has entered its fourth week. Bernstein has said in … Read more
A sharp 400-point rally on Tuesday signals relief, not recovery, as traders weigh the possibility of a pause in strikes against an oil market that has cooled but remains on edge Indian equity markets staged their most convincing single-session rally in weeks on Tuesday, with the Nifty 50 surging 399.75 points — or 1.78% — … Read more
The Hormuz shock has shattered every pre-war forecast. Here is what keeps Brent range-bound, what sends it parabolic — and what finally breaks the rally Brent crude crossed $112 a barrel on Thursday, extending the most violent oil rally since the 1970s Arab embargo, after Israel struck Iran’s South Pars natural gas field widening a … Read more
Despite oil at $105 and a war in the Middle East, Dalal Street’s primary market had a busy week — and the biggest deal of all may still be ahead. Global markets have spent the week in varying degrees of panic. The US-Iran conflict has sent Brent crude surging past $105 a barrel, foreign institutional … Read more
The US-Israel-Iran war has rejigged India’s auto sector favourites, and the EV trade is now the only clear place to hide, says Nomura The US-Iran war has abruptly changed the calculus for India’s automobile sector. With Brent crude surging — up from around $60 at the start of the year — Nomura’s India autos team … Read more
Markets fall when conflict breaks out. Here is what the data says happens post the war The Sensex has just posted its worst week in six years. Oil is above $100. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively shut. And in investing forums across India, retail investors are asking the same question: should I get out? … Read more
From $65 to $71 in days, India’s crude basket is flashing early warning signs. The real question now is how long the Strait of Hormuz stays safe. For India, oil is crucial and has enormous impact on the macro stability, inflation math, fiscal arithmetic and, yes, market mood. In a matter of days, the Indian … Read more
The US-Israel strike that killed Khamenei has changed the geopolitical reality in the Middle East. Indian markets will pay the price on Monday, the question is for how long. The weekend did not bring rest. It brought fire over Tehran, the death of a supreme leader who had ruled Iran for 37 years, and a … Read more